I listen to the weekly public radio show called Marketplace Money through Audible.com on a semi-regular basis. On last week's show there was a story on the recent reversal of fortune with some of the banking giants. Both Citi and Bank of America were down over 50% since January 1, 2009. I actually didn't even know that BofA was down to the $5.00 level. What a shock to hear that.
BofA has since risen to $6.58 while Citi is now at $3.55. You might think that at these prices there's little downside risk and plenty of upside potential for the stocks. However, you might not be thinking that these banks could be nationalized. This is when a bank is taken over by the Federal Government for a period. After the bank is stabilized, then it's returned back to the private sector through a sale. The Marketplace Money story said this happened in Sweden once and it worked out well. Of course, Sweden's financial system is a little less complex than ours.
Anyway, if a bank is nationalized the depositors' money is still just as safe as it always was. They might experience changes in level of service as the government seeks to solve liquidity issues. The people that would totally lose out are the shareholders. They would lose everything in a takeover.
My point is that we don't think much about such a possibility, but anything could happen at this point and it's far from completely out of the question. Something to think about if you're thinking about picking up some Citi at $3.58.
